Archive for May, 2010

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Your Mortgage Approval Isn't Final Until It's Funded

Friday, May 14th, 2010

Approval not final until fundedA mortgage approval is never final until it’s funded.

A host of things can “go wrong” while your home loan is underway. Some are in your control, many more are not.  And just being aware of some potential pitfalls could help save your loan down the road, and your peace of mind today.

MSN Money ran a summary piece on the topic titled “10 Things That Can Kill A Home Loan“.

It’s an excellent article because, unlike most “get approved” articles that advise against things like buying a car before closing, or opening a bunch of new credit cards, the MSN Money piece addresses more uncommon factors that can lead to a similar loan turndown.

For example, a home may be unfundable if it’s unsuitable for human habitation — a condition you may not discover until after a thorough home inspection’s been made. Broken windows, lack of plumbing, and/or major foundation damage are all deal-breakers with a lender.

Either fix the home prior to closing, or don’t close at all.

Homes in “declining markets” have danger spots, too. Especially for conforming mortgage applicants with less than 20% equity.

Because of how private mortgage insurers operate, some homes carry tougher, ZIP code-based PMI eligibility requirements. As a mortgage applicant, it’s important to understand this because you may be PMI-eligible in one neighborhood, but not in another.

There’s others ways in which a mortgage approval can go bad, too:

  • You’re self-employed and your income was lower last year versus the year prior
  • Your tax return shows large amounts of unreimbursed employee expenses
  • You failed to return required paperwork to the lender within a reasonable time frame

Mortgage approvals are delicate and, despite an improving economy, lenders still operate with caution. Talk with an experienced loan officer (me) and put together a game plan. More things can go wrong with that “lowest rate” offered by a rookie, rather than a market rate offered by a veteran.

The best way to beat the mortgage system is to know the rules before you start to play, and this is where I excel. If you have any questions regarding your specific situation, feel free to email me or give me a call. I can have an answer to you within the day.

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Foreclosure Activity Slows For The First Time In Several Years

Thursday, May 13th, 2010

Foreclosure concentration, by state (April 2010)The national foreclosure rate is finally falling.

According to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac.com, the number of foreclosure notices dropped 2 percent between April 2009 and April 2010.

2 percent may not seem like much, but it’s the first time in the history of the RealtyTrac report that the annual foreclosure rate has dropped.

To be sure, foreclosure rates remain elevated — more than 300,000 were reported last month, but default notices appear to be approaching a plateau.

The RealtyTrac report shows some other interesting statistics, too:

  • 6 states accounted for more than half of April’s bank repossessions nationwide
  • For the 40th month in a row, Nevada topped the nation’s foreclosure rate
  • Foreclosure rates dropped in both California and Arizona, 2 foreclosure hot-spots through 2009

The good news for housing doesn’t stop there.  9 of the top 10 leading metropolitan areas for foreclosure-related activity showed a drop in annual activity.  Only Reno, Nevada showed an increase.

Buying distressed homes is big business, according to the National Association of Realtors®, accounting for 35 percent of all home resales with a typical discount ranging near 15 percent on value.

But with the discount comes some caution. You need to know how buying a foreclosed can be different from buying a non-foreclosed home.

For example, distressed properties are often sold as-is and may have defects that render them “un-lendable”.  Secondly, “quick closings” aren’t usually possible with bank-owned homes — you’re often at the bank’s schedule and mercy.

And, lastly, not all foreclosed homes are searchable online. You’ll usually find more stock if you work with a real estate agent versus searching online.

The RealtyTrac foreclosure report is thorough and can help you gauge what’s happening on a state-by-state level, and in the nation’s largest metropolitan areas.  Once you’ve done your research, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.

There’s still good deals in the foreclosure market — you just have to know where to find them.

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Relocate America's Top 100 Places To Live (2010 Edition)

Wednesday, May 12th, 2010

Relocate America Top 100 Places To LiveRelocate America recently released its 2010 list of Top 100 Places To Live In America. The rankings are topped by some cities you may expect, and some you may not.

According to Relocate America, the rankings highlight communities “moving in the right direction”, defined as having a combination of strong leadership, job opportunities, improving real estate markets, recreational options and a good quality of life.

It’s not a bad formula and topping the list of Top 100 Places To Live In America is Huntsville, Alabama.  Huntsville was chosen for its low levels of unemployment, stable housing stock, and low cost of living.  Last year, Huntsville placed fifth on the Relocate America list.

The Top 10 cities in which to live, as selected by Relocate America are:

  1. Huntsville, AL
  2. Washington, DC
  3. Austin, TX
  4. San Diego, CA
  5. San Antonio, TX
  6. Tulsa, OK
  7. Charlotte, NC
  8. Raleigh, NC
  9. Boulder, CO
  10. Minneapolis, MN

View the complete Top 100 Places To Live In America 2010 list at the Relocate America website.

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Shopping For Mortgage Rates? Research Skills vs. Luck

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

Good luck charms and mortgage ratesShopping multiple lenders for a “good mortgage rate” can sometimes save you 1/8 percent on your rate and/or a few hundred dollars in fees. However, when it comes to getting the best mortgage rate, you’re going to more than good research skills.

You’re going to need some luck.

Mortgage rates for people in Texas or anywhere else, for that matter, are unpredictable, ever-changing, and rarely change as expected.

For example, when the Federal Reserve left the mortgage market March 31, 2010, analysts said that mortgage rates would rise by a half-percent or more. It was practically stated as fact on TV.  When April 1 came around, though, rates didn’t rise.

Instead, a volcano erupted and mortgage rates dropped on safe haven buying.

Then, a week later, as  the volcano ash cleared, mortgage rates were supposed to resume their rise. Only they didn’t. Instead, a debt crisis emerged in the Eurozone and mortgage rates dropped.

Since March 31, conforming mortgage rates are holding steady for now, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage rate survey.

It brings us to one of the most important axioms in rate shopping: You can’t shop for good luck.

  • On some days, rates go higher
  • On some days, rates go lower
  • On some days, rates stay the same

Occasionally, there are days when rates do all three.

As a home buyer or would-be refinancer, what rate you get depends on at what time of day you do your shopping and when you close.

You can’t predict what will happen next in mortgage markets — even just an hour from now. If you could, you wouldn’t even need a mortgage.

Therefore, the smartest move is to get with a mortgage professional (such as me) who follows the market and can give you the best advice on when to lock or float. Many claim to know this, but few excel in it. You can ask me anything on what the mortgage environment is like and I’d be glad to answer any and all questions.

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What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 10, 2010

Monday, May 10th, 2010

Non-Farm Payrolls May 2008-April 2010Mortgage markets improved to their best levels of 2010 last week, aided by events half a world away and ongoing safe haven buying.  Greece’s debt problems continue to help mortgage rate shoppers in San Antonio and around the country.

Conventional mortgage rates dropped last week, ARMs falling more than fixed. FHA mortgage rates also improved.

Global concern for the Greece Situation are so strong that markets even shrugged off April’s blowout job report. On most other days, mortgage rates would soar on better-than-expected jobs data — especially coming out of a recession.

The Department of Labor’s April Non-Farm Payrolls reports:

  • Payrolls have been net positive for 4 straight months
  • Nearly 600,000 jobs have been created thus far in 2010
  • Monthly job growth posted its biggest gain in 4 years in April

Additionally, more than 800,000 Americans re-entered the workforce in April in search of work.  As a result, the Unemployment Rate jumped by 0.2 percent — another positive sign (in a roundabout way).

But again, Wall Street wasn’t watching jobs — Wall Street was watching Greece. And Greece was in riot.

This week, without much new data due on the economy, mortgage markets should continue to take cues from Greece, the IMF and the Eurozone.  If a bailout agreement can be reached that investors feel is effective, the safe haven buying that’s led rates lower will recede and mortgage rates should rise.

Conversely, if an agreement is reached that investors deem ineffective, or no agreement is reached at all, mortgage rates should drop.

Each week for the last four weeks, we’ve talked about Greece and its pending bailout and how it might impact rates because each week the bailout appears imminent.  Even this week, the market opens with the news that the IMF has approved a $40 billion lifeline to Greece.  Maybe this will be the news that finally turns the mortgage market around.

Mortgage rates are unnaturally low right now and should change direction quickly. The problem is nobody knows when that will happen so be careful when rate shopping and keep an eye on the market.

Mortgage rates may fall further, but when they turn higher, they’re going to turn quickly.

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Markets Ignore The April Jobs Report And It's Good News For Mortgage Rates

Friday, May 7th, 2010

Unemployment Rate 2007-2010On the first Friday of every month, the U.S. government releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report.

More commonly called “the jobs report”, Non-Farm Payrolls is a major market mover. The number of working Americans is directly tied to the health of the economy which, in turn, drives the stock and bond markets.

In general, when jobs numbers improve, it’s good for stocks and bad for mortgage bonds. It follows, therefore, that conforming mortgage rates in Texas rise because rates always move opposite of mortgage bond prices.

Conversely, when jobs numbers worsen, it tends to be bad for stocks and good for mortgage bonds.  Mortgage rates fall.

Today, markets are behaving a bit differently.

Despite 290,000 jobs created in April 2010 — nearly twice the expected amount — and a 40 percent upward revision of March’s numbers, mortgage rates are essentially unchanged.

In a normal environment, rates would be higher.  Today is not normal.

Today is a departure because, for all of the jobs report’s import to Wall Street, it’s less important to markets than what’s happening in Greece right now.

Greece is struggling to meet its debt obligations and its citizens are rioting.

Until a debt solution for Greece is made that sticks, unrest in the region will drive safe haven buying both domestically and abroad. U.S. mortgage bonds will gain on that movement because mortgage bonds are “safe”, and mortgage rates will fall.

Indeed, this is exactly what’s been happening since the start of April. Mortgage markets have been rallying for 5 weeks.

So, today’s jobs news is terrific for the economy and mortgage rates should be rising because of it.  But, they’re not. Consider taking advantage — lock in a rate.

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1 In 8 Banks Tightened Prime Mortgage Standards Last Quarter

Thursday, May 6th, 2010

Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending PracticesThe Federal Reserve says that financial markets “remain supportive of economic growth“. Residential mortgage guidelines, however, continue to tighten.

If you’ve applied for a home loan recently, you probably felt it; extra scrutiny on income, assets and credit scores, among other things.  The hard proof of the changes, however, can be found in the Federal Reserve’s quarterly survey of its member banks.

Every 3 months, the Federal Reserve asks senior bank loan officers around the country whether their respective banks’ “prime” residential mortgage guidelines tightened since the last survey.

For the period January-March 2010, 1 in 8 banks surveyed toughened their qualification standards.

Only 4% loosened them.

When we account for the Fed’s survey in conjunction with new underwriting standards from Fannie Mae and FHA, it’s clear that getting approved for a mortgage in 2010 is more difficult than at any time in recent memory.

Today’s homeowners and home buyers in Austin have taller hurdles to leap:

  • Minimum FICO scores are higher
  • Downpayment/equity requirements are larger
  • Debt-to-Income thresholds are smaller

In other words, mortgage rates may stay low throughout 2010, but that won’t matter to homeowners failing to meet the new, minimum eligibility standards as set forth by the lenders.

If you’re among the many people wondering if now is the right time to buy or refinance a home, remember that — along with a probable increase in mortgage rates — mortgage approvals are getting more scarce.

The best home price or mortgage rate in the world won’t matter if you’re ineligible for financing.

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March Pending Home Sales Point To Stronger Spring Market

Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

Pending Home Sales September 2008 March 2010The Pending Home Sales Index moved higher in March as home sales were spurred by low mortgage rates and an expiring tax credit.

A “pending home” is a property that is under contract to sell, but not yet closed. (in case you didn’t know)

The month of  March marks the second straight month in which the Pending Home Sales Index improved after a series of weak showings this past winter.

There was a 5 percent increase over the month, but the Pending Home Sales Index is still off its October 2009′s peak.  October 2009 is a comparable period to March 2010 in that it marked the 1-month deadline before the home buyer tax credit’s initial expiration date. The credit was later extended to April 2010, of course.

That said, March’s surge in sales is being felt on the street.

Home buyers in Houston no doubt noticed the change in activity. Around the country, multiple offer situations were more common last month and “right-priced” homes tended to go under contract quickly.

The increase in March’s Pending Home Sales is diminishing the nation’s home supply which, in turn, should cause prices to rise in most markets.

If you’re thinking of buying a home, you should really consider making an offer sooner rather than later because home prices are stabilizing.

Going off of the data alone, the best time to have found a “deal” on a home may have been in February.

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Fannie Mae Tightens Guidelines On ARMs And Interest Only Products

Tuesday, May 4th, 2010

Fannie Mae tightens its mortgage guidelinesFor the first time this year, Fannie Mae announced significant updates to its mortgage underwriting guidelines.

The changes include newer, harsher ARM qualification standards, the elimination of a once-popular loan product, and tighter rules for interest only mortgages.

Fannie Mae made its official announcement April 30, 2010.  The changes will roll out to home buyers and homeowners in Houston and everywhere else over the next 12 weeks.

The first guideline change is tied to ARMs of 5 years or less.

Mortgage applicants must now qualify based on a mortgage rate 2% higher than their note rate.  For example, if your mortgage rate is 5 percent, for qualification purposes, your rate would be 7 percent.

The elevated qualification payment will disqualify borrowers whose debt-to-income levels are borderline.

The second change is Fannie Mae’s elimination of the standard 7-year balloon mortgage.  Balloon mortgages were popular early last decade.  Lately, few borrowers have chosen them, though.  Mostly because rates have been relative high as compared to a comparable 7-year ARM.

And, lastly, Fannie Mae is changing its interest only mortgages guidelines.

Effective June 19, 2010, Fannie Mae interest only mortgages must meet the following criteria:

  1. The home must be a 1-unit property
  2. The home must be a primary residence, or vacation home
  3. The borrower’s FICO must be 720 or higher
  4. The mortgage must be a purchase, or rate-and-term refinance. No “cash out” allowed.

Furthermore, borrowers using interest only mortgages must show two full years of mortgage payments “in the bank” at the time of closing.

Earlier this year, Fannie Mae-sister Freddie Mac announced that as of September 2010, it will stop offering interest only loans altogether.

Between Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the FHA, and other government-supported entities, the U.S. government now backs 96.5% of the U.S. mortgage market.  So long as mortgage default rates are high, expect approvals for all borrower types to continue to toughen.

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The Deal on Mortgage Rates This Week (May 3, 2010)

Monday, May 3rd, 2010

Net Job Gains April 2008-March 2010Mortgage markets improved last week on tame inflation data, a benign statement from the Federal Reserve, and ongoing credit problems in Greece.

The factors combined to drop conforming mortgage rates in Austin to their lowest levels in 6 weeks.

It’s an unexpected development considering that mortgage rates were supposed to rise post March 31, 2010.  That was the day the Fed’s support for mortgage markets ended.

Since then, however, a month-long string of devastating economic and meteorological events within the Eurozone sparked a global flight-to-quality that benefited “safe” assets such as mortgage bonds.

May 2010 may not be so kind.

The week starts with news that Greece reached a $147 billion bailout agreement with the IMF Sunday. This is a plus for the Eurozone and mortgage market negative. Rates should rise on the bailout.

Also on Monday, the government releases Personal Consumptions and Expenditures data.

PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and it’s expected to show an annual read of 1.3 percent. Anything higher and rates should rise.

Then, for the rest of the week, employment data takes center stage.

  • Wednesday : ADP releases its private sector employment data
  • Thursday : The government releases initial jobless claims
  • Friday : The government releases April’s job report

Jobs are key to the U.S. economic recovery, tied to consumer spending, consumer confidence, and mortgage delinquencies.  If job growth is better than expected, mortgage rates should rise.  If job growth is worse, rates should fall.

There’s no “best day” to lock this week so keep an eye on the market.  However, if rates in Texas rise as quickly in May as they fell in April, you won’t have much time to act.

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