Archive for January, 2010

Jobless Claims Help Mortgage Bonds

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

Well after a pretty rough day for mortgage bonds yesterday, we are seeing a little rebound after this morning Jobless Claims. The figure came in higher than expected at 444k.

Also had the Retail Sales report this morning, and while it was expected to come in at 0.4%, it actually came in alot below that at -0.3%.

The FNMA 4.5% coupon has been approaching the 25 Day Moving Average the past few days, it has not gone above it, so that’s what’s basically being used to test mortgage bond resistance.

Folks, tax credit is going to be over soon and what that means is that everyone is going to be piling in wanting to close YESTERDAY.

With this being said, you have the almighty Capitol Hill lobbyists that have royally “boinked” the Real Estate Industry by implementing the new RESPA rules.

Have you ever seen 2 trains collide before?

Well that’s what’s going to happen if everyone waits until last minute.

Make sure to get everything in early, get with a good lender that understand all the new changes, and get your home closed on time (or as close as you can to it).

Don’t be behind the 8 Ball when you have a chance to cash in on a new home AND 8k! You’ll regret it later!

Mortgage Rates Getting a Little Boost

Tuesday, January 12th, 2010

Good day in terms of rates. We’re currently up 50 bps and are rebounding quite nicely.

I read an 87 page report earlier today that rate hikes are most likely going to happen in June, so be on the lookout!

The International Trade Report came in at $-36.4b, a little higher than its estimate.

Currently, the 3-Year Note Auction is taking place. I’ll be back with any significant updates.

Have a great day!

Employment Situation Looks Crappy

Friday, January 8th, 2010

Well, when you have 85k jobs lost in December and the unemployment rate is at 10%, the New Year doesn’t particularly look that promising to you if you’re getting fitted for that cap and gown in May.

While many are saying that the economy is “switching gears”, a 10% unemployment rate isn’t really indicative of that, now is it?

I was reading an article this morning that said that, in a broader measure, we have 17.3% of the labor force that is unemployed, and the civilian labor force has dropped by over 661,000 people.

Explain to me again how our economy is getting better?

Regardless of every single economic report that comes out, our economy will not be on the road to recovery until these numbers go down and jobs are created.

“No tiki, no laundry!”

In regards to mortgage rates this morning, we’re teetering back and forth. We were up 32 bps, then down 3, and now currently up 16, but not enough for any major movements.

Personally, I took a locking stance yesterday because I didn’t want to gamble with today’s reports, however if you can stomach it, continue to float if you have a little “Vegas” in you.

Protect your Home from Frozen Pipes

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

AUSTIN – Texas weather can change quickly, especially in the winter. A fast-moving cold front can cause temperatures to drop below freezing within hours. Outdoor pipes, pipes in unheated areas, and pipes that run along uninsulated exterior walls can burst if the water in them freezes and expands. This can shatter pipe seals or the pipes themselves, sending water pouring through your house. You can avoid thousands of dollars of damage to your walls, ceilings, carpets, and furniture by taking a few simple measures to protect your home.

Before the Freeze

  • Protect faucets, outdoor pipes, and exposed pipes in unheated areas by wrapping them with rags, newspaper, trash bags, or plastic foam.
  • Insulate your outdoor water meter box and be sure its lid is on tight.
  • Cover any vents around your home’s foundation.
  • Drain and store water hoses indoors.
  • Protect outdoor electrical pumps.
  • Drain swimming pool circulation systems or keep the pump motor running. (Run the pump motor only in a short freeze. Running the motor for long periods could damage it.)
  • Drain water sprinkler supply lines.
  • Open the cabinets under sinks in your kitchen and bathrooms to allow heated indoor air to circulate around the water pipes.
  • Set your thermostat at a minimum temperature of 55 degrees, especially when you’re gone for the day or away for an extended period.
  • Let indoor faucets drip; it isn’t necessary to run a stream of water.
  • Make sure you know where your home’s shut-off valve is and how to turn it on and off.
  • If you leave town, consider turning off your water at the shut-off valve while faucets are running to drain your pipes. Make sure you turn the faucets off before you turn the shut-off valve back on.
  • If you drain your pipes, contact your electric or gas utility company for instructions on protecting your water heater.

If Your Pipes Freeze

  • If a pipe bursts and floods your home, turn the water off at the shut-off valve.  Call a plumber for help if you can’t find the broken pipe or if it’s inaccessible.  Don’t turn the water back on until the pipe has been repaired.
  • If the pipe hasn’t burst, thaw it out with an electric heating pad, hair dryer, portable space heater, or towel soaked with hot water. Apply heat by slowly moving the heat source toward the coldest spot on the pipe. Never concentrate heat in one spot because cracking ice can shatter a pipe. Turn the faucet on and let it run until the pipe is thawed and water pressure returns to normal.
  • Don’t use a blowtorch or other open-flame device. They are fire risks and carbon monoxide exposure risks.

If You Have a Loss

  • Contact your insurance agent or company promptly. Follow up as soon as possible with a written claim to protect your rights under Texas’ prompt-payment law.
  • Review your coverage. Most homeowners and renters policies pay for property repair. In addition, most policies pay for debris removal and for additional living expenses if you have to move temporarily because of damage to your home. If you can’t find your policy, ask your agent or company for a copy.
  • Homeowners policies may require you to make temporary repairs to protect your property from further damage. Your policy covers the cost of these repairs. Keep all receipts and damaged property for the adjuster to inspect. If possible, take photos or videos of the damage before making repairs. Don’t make permanent repairs. An insurance company may deny a claim if you make permanent repairs before an adjuster inspects the damage.
  • Most homeowners policies do not cover loss caused by freezing pipes while your house is unoccupied unless you used reasonable care to maintain heat in the building; shut off the water supply; and drain water from plumbing, heating, and air conditioning systems.

Questions?

If you have questions about insurance, call TDI’s Consumer Help Line toll-free: 1-800-252-3439

or visit the TDI website: www.tdi.state.tx.us. Assistance is available in both English and Spanish.

Jobless Claims In and a HUGE Day Tomorrow

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

Good morning all!

The only economic report for today is the Jobless Claims, and that figure has come in at 434k, a little bit lower than the 439k that was expected, and not much different than the prior 433k.

Mortgage bonds are not moving much from yesterdays losses, as we are currently up 3 basis points and we are hugging the 1st level of support.

We’re going to have a huge day tomorrow in terms of economic reports. The Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and the Average Work Week are all coming out tomorrow all at 8:30, so looking on how today plays out to work up a rate-lock strategy for tomorrow.

And the New Year is Officially Underway

Tuesday, January 5th, 2010

Hope everyone had a great New Year celebration!

For Texas lenders such as myself, it is definitely going to be a challenging year with all these rules and regulations that have come out and others that are still in the works.

Mortgage bonds are up 41 bps this morning and are kicking some serious butt! Rates should improve today a little bit, and that’s great because the past month we’ve been on a downhill spiral.

The Pending Home Sales report came out this morning and it was down 16%. This was mainly because buyers were waiting on the final word on the tax credit extension, and since it was extended, we should see an increase in the next report, or at least that’s what I’m personally expecting.

I’d float any new transactions at the moment, but prepare to switch gears if anything pops up.

Make sure to follow me on Twitter for all your daily mortgage updates!